Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.124871 0.138950 0.153361 0.169174 0.186001 0.203335 0.222503
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.105484 0.124915 0.145561 0.168999 0.194738 0.222021 0.253003
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.093564 0.116930 0.142558 0.172470 0.206151 0.242644 0.284918
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.082851 0.108938 0.138404 0.173664 0.214241 0.259037 0.311799
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.073236 0.101162 0.133601 0.173325 0.219949 0.272282 0.334816
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.065862 0.095298 0.130388 0.174263 0.226661 0.286325 0.358500
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.058650 0.088954 0.126027 0.173330 0.230766 0.297051 0.378150
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.054450 0.086026 0.125519 0.176767 0.239843 0.313431 0.404283
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.049560 0.081768 0.122993 0.177423 0.245336 0.325425 0.425187
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.044996 0.077563 0.120219 0.177495 0.249901 0.336161 0.444508
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.040450 0.073009 0.116680 0.176327 0.252718 0.344640 0.461035
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.037312 0.070197 0.115250 0.177703 0.258582 0.356733 0.481862
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035209 0.068850 0.115842 0.181857 0.268204 0.373773 0.509159
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031860 0.065360 0.113278 0.181681 0.272206 0.383851 0.528018
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030003 0.064018 0.113616 0.185322 0.281090 0.400002 0.554365
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027602 0.061609 0.112280 0.186574 0.286799 0.412160 0.575824
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024971 0.058590 0.109879 0.186220 0.290300 0.421482 0.593759
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022925 0.056371 0.108519 0.187203 0.295495 0.432912 0.614315
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020577 0.053405 0.105866 0.186226 0.297975 0.440820 0.630446
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019492 0.052604 0.106458 0.189825 0.306587 0.456593 0.656484
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017847 0.050612 0.105085 0.190512 0.311202 0.467199 0.676025
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.016211 0.048472 0.103357 0.190588 0.314919 0.476610 0.694052
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.014462 0.045920 0.100825 0.189366 0.316769 0.483539 0.708905